Yield Curve — A plot of US Treasury yields across maturities — typically 3-month through 30-year. The shape (normal, flat, inverted) is a closely-watched recession signal.
Yield-curve inversions (2-year above 10-year) have historically preceded most US recessions by 12-24 months. IndexAlpha surfaces inversion status alongside macro stress tests.
A plot of US Treasury yields across maturities — typically 3-month through 30-year. The shape (normal, flat, inverted) is a closely-watched recession signal.
Yield-curve inversions (2-year above 10-year) have historically preceded most US recessions by 12-24 months. IndexAlpha surfaces inversion status alongside macro stress tests.