Yield Curve

A plot of US Treasury yields across maturities — typically 3-month through 30-year. The shape (normal, flat, inverted) is a closely-watched recession signal.

Yield Curve — A plot of US Treasury yields across maturities — typically 3-month through 30-year. The shape (normal, flat, inverted) is a closely-watched recession signal.

Key facts

Category
Macro
Definition
A plot of US Treasury yields across maturities — typically 3-month through 30-year. The shape (normal, flat, inverted) is a closely-watched recession signal.
Last updated
2026-06-17

How IndexAlpha uses Yield Curve

Yield-curve inversions (2-year above 10-year) have historically preceded most US recessions by 12-24 months. IndexAlpha surfaces inversion status alongside macro stress tests.

Related terms

Common questions

What is Yield Curve?

A plot of US Treasury yields across maturities — typically 3-month through 30-year. The shape (normal, flat, inverted) is a closely-watched recession signal.

How does IndexAlpha use Yield Curve?

Yield-curve inversions (2-year above 10-year) have historically preceded most US recessions by 12-24 months. IndexAlpha surfaces inversion status alongside macro stress tests.

Sources